TREE NEWS reports: Glassnode’s week-38 on-chain report says bitcoin never closed a day below its realized price during this bear market and has reclaimed both the true market mean and the long-term holder cost band. The June low held above realized price, making it the shallowest of the last three bear-market lows. The next major on-chain resistance sits at the mean MVRV price near $96,700, where options dealer hedging clusters around $95,000.
Glassnode: Bitcoin Never Closed Below Realized Price in This Bear Market; $95K-$97K Is Next Test
The notable point is structural rather than directional: a bear-market low that never closed below realized price implies holders absorbed losses without capitulating at the aggregate level, which is a different regime from the prior two cycles. The $95K–$97K zone matters because on-chain resistance and options-dealer hedging are converging there, a setup that often produces sharper, more reflexive moves than either signal alone. Whether that confluence is absorbed or rejected is the open question for the next phase.
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