TREE NEWS reports: Germany’s 10-year government bond yield rose 4.4 basis points to 3.599% in European trading Thursday, extending gains after 22:00 Beijing time for a two-day increase of 13.7 basis points, closing in on the 3.749% peak from the second quarter of 2009. The 30-year Bund yield added 2.0 basis points to 3.865%, while the 2-year yield slipped 0.3 basis point to 3.327%. The 2/10-year spread widened 4.773 basis points to +26.947 basis points.
German 10-Year Bund Yield Hits 3.599%, Two-Day Rise of 13.7bp Approaches 2009 High
The notable signal here is the shape of the move, not the level: the long end is leading and the 2/10 spread is steepening, which points to term-premium and duration concerns rather than a repricing of near-term policy. The 2-year slipping while the 10- and 30-year rise suggests the front end is anchored. Whether the long end keeps pushing toward the 2009 peak, or stalls as it did then, is the open question worth watching.
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