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German 10-Year Bund Yield Hits 3.599%, Two-Day Rise of 13.7bp Approaches 2009 High

Germany’s 10-year government bond yield rose 4.4 basis points to 3.599% in European trading Thursday, extending gains after 22:00 Beijing time for a two-day increase of 13.7 basis points, closing in on the 3.749% peak from the second quarter of 2009. The 30-year Bund yield added 2.0 basis points to 3.865%, while the 2-year yield slipped 0.3 basis point to 3.327%. The 2/10-year spread widened 4.773 basis points to +26.947 basis points.

Original source

AI take

The notable signal here is the shape of the move, not the level: the long end is leading and the 2/10 spread is steepening, which points to term-premium and duration concerns rather than a repricing of near-term policy. The 2-year slipping while the 10- and 30-year rise suggests the front end is anchored. Whether the long end keeps pushing toward the 2009 peak, or stalls as it did then, is the open question worth watching.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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