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Deutsche Bank: Copper to Hit $22,050/Ton by Q2 2027 on Severe Shortage

Deutsche Bank analyst Daniel Ghali forecasts copper will rise to $22,050 per ton by the second quarter of 2027, a gain of roughly 50%, as buyers race to lock in supply in a “historic metals grab.” Immediately available inventories have fallen to unprecedented lows, and the market’s main driver is shifting from a demand boom to a liquidity crisis. Ghali sees copper averaging $20,900 per ton in 2027 and $18,500 in 2028.

Original source

AI take

The notable shift here is the framing: Deutsche Bank is describing scarcity as a liquidity problem rather than a demand story, which changes which signals matter. If availability, not consumption, is driving pricing, then inventory and near-term supply access become the key indicators to track. The bank's own path implies the tightness is expected to ease later in the decade, so whether the squeeze proves structural or cyclical is the open question — and that distinction matters for anyone exposed to copper-linked RWA products.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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