Polymarket Traders Put 91% Odds on Democrats Winning US House on Nov 3

Prediction-market pricing is not a poll, and that distinction is the whole story here: a 91% reading reflects where capital has settled, not a forecast of the popular vote. The signal matters most for anyone using Polymarket as a real-time sentiment gauge on US politics, since a gap this wide leaves little room for late shifts. Whether the contract holds near this level or drifts as the date approaches is the open question worth watching.