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China’s Services Sector Accounted for 66.1% of H1 Economic Growth, NDRC Says

China’s services sector contributed 66.1% of economic growth in the first half of the year, up 5.9 percentage points from a year earlier, the National Development and Reform Commission said at a press conference on services sector expansion. The NDRC said the services business activity expectation index has stayed above 55 for five straight months since April, describing the sector as showing policy expectations, market confidence, consumer resilience and open-economy vitality.

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AI take

The shift toward services as the dominant growth engine matters because it signals a rebalancing away from the industrial and property-led model that has driven Chinese expansion for decades. The NDRC's framing, tying the sector's strength to policy expectations, market confidence and consumer resilience, is itself notable: it presents services as the channel through which domestic demand and openness are being tested. The open question is whether the business activity expectation index's run above 55 can hold once base effects and policy support fade.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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