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Macro

China National Day Holiday Domestic Airfares Up 11% Year-on-Year

Domestic economy-class airfares for China’s National Day holiday (Oct 1-7) averaged 929.7 yuan including taxes as of Sept 29, up 11.2% from 836.0 yuan a year earlier. The average base fare, excluding taxes, rose 6.0% year-on-year to 820.2 yuan.

Original source

AI take

The gap between the headline increase and the smaller base-fare gain points to taxes and surcharges doing much of the work, so the underlying demand signal is softer than the double-digit figure suggests. For an aviation market still rebuilding international capacity, a firm holiday pricing window matters less as a demand indicator than as a test of whether domestic yields can hold once the peak travel week passes. Whether the base-fare trend continues into the post-holiday shoulder season is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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