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Crypto Macro

Bitcoin Rises as Fed’s Favorite Inflation Gauge Cools, Bond Yields Hit 20-Year Highs

Bitcoin climbed after the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure came in cooler than expected, prompting traders to cut rate-hike odds. The move came as bond yields reached 20-year highs, with the cooler PCE reading giving crypto traders a reason to buy.

Original source

AI take

The notable tension here is that crypto is rallying on softer inflation data while the bond market signals the opposite — 20-year yield highs imply tighter financial conditions, not looser ones. That divergence suggests bitcoin is trading the rate-hike-odds headline rather than the broader liquidity backdrop. Whether the cooler PCE print actually shifts the Fed's path, or merely trims near-term hike expectations while yields keep climbing, is the open question for risk assets broadly.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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