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BOJ Sept Minutes: One Member Urges Faster Rate Hikes If Inflation Overshoots

Bank of Japan September meeting minutes show one board member said the BOJ must accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes if signs emerge that inflation is exceeding expectations. The member also said the BOJ should flexibly signal its determination to prevent excessive inflation while watching foreign exchange effects. Other members said the timing of further hikes should depend on economic, price and financial developments, with one noting the terminal rate could exceed the BOJ’s estimated range.

Original source

AI take

This exposes the BOJ's internal split, with one member explicitly tying a faster hiking pace to an inflation overshoot while others keep the timing data-dependent. For yen-sensitive assets, including crypto and tokenized real-world assets, the marginal signal matters because a faster BOJ path would tighten global yen-funded liquidity. The more telling line is a member flagging that the terminal rate could exceed the BOJ's own estimate, which hints the ceiling is less fixed than markets assume. Whether that view gains broader support is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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