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Macro

ECB’s Rehn: Energy Price Shock Has Not Yet Passed Through to Wages

European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn said the energy price shock has not yet fed through into wages. The remark points to contained second-round inflation effects from energy costs in the euro area. Rehn sits on the ECB’s rate-setting Governing Council.

Original source

AI take

Rehn's point matters because the absence of second-round effects is the key condition for treating an energy shock as a level effect rather than a persistent inflation problem, and it is precisely the evidence the Governing Council would need to look through energy-driven headline moves. The remark suggests the wage channel — the transmission route that would force a policy response — has not yet activated, though the phrasing leaves open whether that reflects genuine containment or simply a lag. Whether wage data confirm that pass-through stays absent is the open question for the rate path.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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