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Macro

US Treasury Yields Swing in V-Shape After 10-Year Hits 5.36%

US Treasury yields traced a V-shaped session on Wednesday, October 7, with the 10-year note ending up 0.23 basis point at 5.2816% after touching a session high of 5.3624% at 21:27 Beijing time and dropping sharply when the Treasury’s bond auction results were released at 01:00. The two-year yield fell 3.35 basis points to 4.7661%, the 30-year rose 0.93 basis point to 5.6668%, and the 2s/10s spread widened to +51.338 basis points.

Original source

AI take

The V-shaped session highlights how fragile the long end has become: the 10-year spiked to a session high before an auction result reversed the move, leaving it barely changed on the day. The real signal is in the curve — the 2s/10s spread widening to roughly 51 basis points alongside a lower two-year yield points to steepening driven by term premium and supply absorption rather than a shift in policy expectations. Whether that steepening continues, and whether auctions keep producing such sharp intraday reversals, is the open question for rates-sensitive markets.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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