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Regulation Macro

PBOC Urges Long-Term Policy Commitments to Avoid Flip-Flopping

The People’s Bank of China said countries should set medium- and long-term policy plans, make clear commitments and execute them firmly, avoiding back-and-forth “flip-flopping” on policy. In its policy stance on the yuan, the central bank said trying to fix global economic structural problems within one to two years is unrealistic, and abrupt short-term shifts can backfire. It cited the 2025 global tariff war, which triggered import front-running, worsened imbalances and hurt global growth.

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AI take

The PBOC is making a structural argument, not a cyclical one: it is framing policy credibility itself as a stabilizer, and pointing to tariff-driven front-running as evidence that reactive short-term measures amplify the imbalances they aim to fix. This matters most for currency and cross-border flow expectations, where the bank's own yuan stance is the implicit subject. The open question is whether this framing translates into more durable yuan guidance, or remains a critique aimed outward at other policymakers.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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