TREE NEWS reports: The US 10-year Treasury yield fell 5.48 basis points to 5.2289% in New York trading on Thursday, October 8, after climbing to 5.3519% — close to the 5.3624% top hit on October 7, the highest since 2002 — and then retreating. The 2-year yield dropped 1.68bp to 4.7535%, accelerating its decline after President Donald Trump said he would not attack Iran before the midterm elections. The 30-year yield fell 6.90bp to 5.6024%, and the 2s/10s spread narrowed 4.223bp to +47.118bp.
10-Year Treasury Yield Falls 5.48bp to 5.2289% After Reaching 5.3519%
The long end led the retreat, with the 30-year falling harder than the 2-year, which points to duration and term-premium pressure easing rather than a shift in near-term rate expectations. The 2-year's move was tied to reduced geopolitical risk after the Iran comment, a reminder that this curve is being driven as much by headlines as by policy. The open question is whether the 5.35% area on the 10-year holds as a ceiling or merely a pause, and whether the 2s/10s spread keeps narrowing from here.
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