TREE NEWS reports: CITIC Securities said secondary-home transactions jumped 57% year-on-year during the 2026 National Day holiday, roughly flat versus the same period in 2024. Over a longer window including the Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays, 2026 secondary-home sales were noticeably more active than in both 2024 and 2025. The brokerage expects the market to stay active and Q4 2026 to outperform the same period in 2024.
CITIC Securities: Secondary Home Sales Beat Expectations, Q4 Outlook More Positive
The signal here is resilience in the resale market even as the holiday comparison base was already elevated, which matters because secondary transactions are typically the cleaner read on genuine owner-to-owner demand rather than developer-driven activity. The brokerage's more constructive Q4 framing implies it sees this momentum carrying past the holiday window, though the year-on-year jump partly reflects the calendar timing of the holidays. The open question is whether the sequential improvement holds once seasonal support fades, and whether it broadens beyond the resale segment.
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