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Macro

China Treasury Futures Open Higher; 30-Year Contract Up 0.12%

China’s treasury futures opened higher, with the 30-year main contract up 0.12%, the 10-year up 0.02%, the 5-year up 0.01% and the 2-year up 0.01%. The modest gains across the curve came at the start of trading.

Original source

AI take

The curve-wide move is more telling than the headline gain: the long end is leading while the short end barely budges, a shape that points to duration demand rather than a broad rates repricing. That distinction matters for anyone reading Chinese government bonds as a sentiment gauge, since a long-end-led rally usually reflects growth or inflation expectations rather than near-term liquidity. Whether the 30-year contract holds its opening premium, or the curve flattens further, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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