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IMF Keeps US 2026 Growth Forecast at 2.3%, Lifts 2027 View to 2.3%

The IMF forecasts US economic growth of 2.3% in 2026, unchanged from its July projection and matching the 2025 estimate. For 2027, the fund raised its US growth forecast to 2.3%, up from 2.2% in July.

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AI take

The IMF's steady US growth outlook matters less for its headline numbers than for what it implies about the macro backdrop crypto and RWA markets are pricing against: no upgrade to near-term momentum, only a marginal lift further out. That stability cuts both ways, supporting risk appetite without signaling the reflation that typically drives sharper digital-asset moves. The open question is whether the fund's 2027 revision reflects genuine confidence or simply converging estimates, and whether subsequent IMF updates start to diverge from this flat trajectory.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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