TREE NEWS reports: Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Greene said it is difficult to predict where the global bond market’s “tipping point” for tolerating government borrowing levels will be, adding that she is closely monitoring the issue. Greene did not specify a level or timeline for any such threshold.
BoE’s Greene: Hard to Predict ‘Tipping Point’ for Global Bond Market Tolerance of Government Borrowing
Greene's admission that the threshold is unquantifiable is itself the signal: a rate-setter is flagging fiscal sustainability as a live financial-stability risk rather than a modelling exercise. The practical effect is to widen the risk premium attached to sovereign issuance, particularly for governments with heavy refinancing needs, since markets cannot price a trigger no one can locate. Watch whether other central bank officials echo this framing, and whether long-end yields start reacting to fiscal headlines more than to inflation data.
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