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Macro

US Existing-Home Sales Rise 0.4% in September as Mortgage Rates Loom

US existing-home sales rose in September for the first time in four months, reaching an annualized pace of 3.99 million units. The median existing-home sale price climbed 1.3% year-on-year to $417,500. The rebound may prove short-lived, as surging mortgage rates and elevated prices are expected to keep market activity subdued for the rest of the year.

Original source

AI take

The modest gain matters less than its fragility: a single-month uptick in a market still constrained by elevated prices and rising mortgage rates suggests demand is being pulled forward rather than genuinely recovering. The year-on-year price increase alongside weak volume points to a market clearing on scarcity, not strength, which keeps affordability pressure squarely on prospective buyers and limits how much transaction activity can rebuild. Whether the September gain holds once higher rates feed through to monthly payments is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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