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Macro

China Treasury Futures Close Mixed; 30-Year Contract Up 0.19%

China’s treasury futures closed with the 30-year main contract up 0.19%, the 10-year up 0.02%, the 5-year flat at 0.00% and the 2-year up 0.01%. The session’s modest gains were led by the longest-dated contract.

Original source

AI take

The curve's shape is the story here: gains concentrated at the long end while the front contracts barely moved suggests duration demand rather than a broad rates repricing. For anyone watching China's government bond market as a read on growth and policy expectations, the long bond's bid carries more signal than the headline move itself. Whether that long-end preference persists across sessions, or proves to be a single-session tilt, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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