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Macro

Russell Investments: Fed May Pause in October, Hike Again in December

Russell Investments senior investment strategist BeiChen Lin said the Federal Reserve may hold rates steady at its October meeting but is expected to raise rates again in December. Lin warned that an inflation reading above expectations, coming when the market is already worried about price pressures, could push investors to reprice the odds of an October hike and the terminal rate for this tightening cycle.

Original source

AI take

The strategist's call frames the near-term debate less around direction than around sequencing — a pause that isn't necessarily an end. That distinction matters most for rate-sensitive corners of crypto and tokenized real assets, where the terminal-rate assumption, not the next meeting alone, drives positioning. The open question is whether an upside inflation surprise forces the market to collapse the pause and December hike into a single repricing, which would tighten conditions faster than the calendar implies.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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