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Macro

Fidelity Says 10-Year Treasury Yield Could Reach 6%

Fidelity said the 10-year US Treasury yield could still climb to 6% amid persistent high inflation, with the positive correlation between bonds and stocks meaning bonds must offer higher returns to attract investors. “From a tactical perspective, we still think there could be a scenario where yields touch 6%,” said Salman Ahmed, Fidelity’s chief investment strategist.

Original source

AI take

Fidelity's call matters less as a forecast than as a signal that parts of the buy side are positioning for a world where the risk-free rate competes directly with equities and crypto for capital. The bond-stock correlation point is the substantive one: if the traditional hedge no longer hedges, the case for yield-bearing and alternative assets rests on a different footing. Whether 6% is reached is unknowable; whether asset allocators begin pricing that regime is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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