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Macro

US Sept CPI Tops Forecasts; Rate Futures Slide, Fed Hike Bets Rise

US September CPI rose 3.7% year-on-year and core CPI climbed 2.6%, both above market expectations. After the data, short-term US interest-rate futures fell as traders increased bets on further Federal Reserve rate hikes.

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AI take

The upside surprise matters less for the headline than for what it does to the rate path: futures repricing and firmer hike bets tighten the discount rate that underpins every risk asset, crypto and tokenized RWA included. The read-through is a stronger dollar and higher real yields, which typically pressures non-yielding holdings and can stall fresh allocations into on-chain products. Whether the Fed validates the market's hawkish shift, or the next inflation print cools the reaction, is the open question worth tracking.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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