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Citi Now Expects Fed Rate Hike in December, Keeps 2027 Cut Forecast

Citigroup now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in December, a view it previously did not hold, while maintaining its forecast for multiple rate cuts in 2027. The bank’s revised call marks a shift from its earlier expectation of no December hike. Citi left its 2027 outlook unchanged.

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AI take

Citi's shift matters less as a forecast than as a signal that a December hike is no longer a fringe view, which can reprice rate-sensitive corners of crypto and tokenized real assets before the Fed itself moves. The split call — near-term tightening, cuts later — suggests the bank sees the current inflation impulse as temporary rather than a regime change. Whether other sell-side desks follow Citi in adding a December hike is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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