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Macro US Stocks

US September PPI Jumps 6.3% Y/Y, Biggest in Over Four Years

US September PPI rose 6.3% year-on-year, the highest in more than four years, with a 1.3% monthly gain — the largest since March 2022 — as energy PPI surged 10.8% in the month. September retail sales beat expectations at 0.8% month-on-month, but only 0.2% excluding autos and gasoline. The S&P 500 rebounded after three straight declines, the Dow gained over 1%, and chip stocks fell for a seventh session. The IEA agreed to release remaining planned oil reserves.

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AI take

The composition matters more than the headline: energy drove both the monthly PPI spike and the headline retail sales beat, while the ex-autos-and-gasoline retail figure was far softer. That split suggests a cost shock rather than broad demand-driven inflation, which complicates the read on underlying momentum. The IEA's reserve release is the offsetting supply-side response worth tracking, as is whether chip stocks' extended slide continues even as the broader indices rebound.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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