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IMF expects one more BOJ rate hike, urges flexibility

The International Monetary Fund expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates one more time, moving the policy rate toward neutral, IMF Japan mission chief Rahul Anand said Friday. Anand said that under the IMF’s baseline scenario, the BOJ will hike once more to bring the policy rate to a neutral level, while stressing that further action must stay flexible given rising global uncertainty.

Original source

AI take

The IMF framing matters less for the hike itself than for the word 'neutral' — it implies the endgame is a destination, not a cycle, which changes how yen funding costs get priced across carry trades. For crypto and other risk assets, the live question is whether the BOJ treats the IMF baseline as a ceiling or a floor; the mission chief's emphasis on flexibility suggests the pace, not the direction, is the variable to watch.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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