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Macro

US net interest spending hit record $1.05T in fiscal 2026, up over 8%

US federal net interest spending reached a record $1.05 trillion in fiscal 2026 ended September, up more than 8% from $970 billion in fiscal 2025, Treasury data show. The Peter G. Peterson Foundation estimates the outlay equals 3.2% of GDP, which would exceed the record set in 1991; quarterly GDP figures are due later this month. The interest burden is consuming a larger share of federal revenue and could erode fiscal room to respond to economic shocks.

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AI take

The milestone matters less for the headline total than for what it signals about fiscal capacity: interest is now a structural claim on revenue that competes directly with discretionary spending, and the Peterson Foundation's 3.2%-of-GDP estimate suggests the burden has returned to levels last seen in 1991. This affects anyone holding duration-sensitive assets, since a government with less fiscal room has a narrower toolkit when shocks arrive. The open question is whether quarterly GDP data later this month confirms the ratio — and whether the trajectory keeps compressing that room.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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