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Crypto Macro

Bitcoin Bull Run Stalls as Inflation, Yields and Miners Weigh on Outlook

Bitcoin’s long-term on-chain trend remains bullish, but short-term indicators are flashing caution, with a widely followed trend model’s stop line at $79,654 — less than 3% below current prices. September CPI rose 3.7% year-on-year, the 10-year Treasury yield has hovered near 5.2%, and miners holding nearly 1.8 million BTC may sell reserves to fund AI data-center expansion. Futures price a near-90% chance of a December rate hike.

Original source

AI take

The tension here is structural rather than cyclical: a bullish on-chain backdrop is being tested by macro pressure and a potential new source of supply. Miners pivoting capital toward AI data centers would turn a cohort that usually accumulates into a seller, a shift worth watching more than the CPI print itself. With the trend model's stop line sitting so close to spot, the market is priced for a thin margin of error, and the December rate-hike odds suggest macro headwinds are not yet exhausted.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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