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Scotiabank: Anthropic IPO Would Turn Alphabet and Amazon Stakes Into Publicly Priced Assets

Scotiabank estimates that at a $1.5 trillion valuation, Anthropic’s equity would be worth about $16 per share to Alphabet, roughly 5% of its stock value, and about $27 per share to Amazon, nearly 10% of its stock value. The bank said an Anthropic IPO would convert one of the largest private AI holdings on both companies’ balance sheets into a publicly priced asset, with Amazon benefiting more from the stake. It also flagged Anthropic’s growing importance as a Google Cloud and AWS customer.

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AI take

The real story here is valuation mechanics, not the IPO itself: Scotiabank's estimates imply Anthropic exposure sits inside Alphabet and Amazon shares at private marks, so a listing would reprice that exposure daily and make the two hyperscalers partial AI proxies. Amazon's larger relative stake means its shares carry more of that beta. The flagged cloud-customer relationship adds a second layer — Anthropic's spending is both an equity asset and a revenue line for the same companies. Whether public markets would apply a different multiple to those stakes than private marks is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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