TREE NEWS reports: Societe Generale strategist Stephen Spratt said Japanese life insurers appear likely to increase their willingness to allocate to Japanese government bonds in the second half of the fiscal year. Domestic demand is starting to recover, while the size of super-long JGB auctions has already been reduced.
SocGen Strategist: Japanese Life Insurers May Raise JGB Allocations in H2
The signal here is about domestic institutional demand rather than price direction: Japanese life insurers are among the most rate-sensitive buyers of super-long JGBs, so any shift in their willingness to allocate matters for the long end of the curve. The cited combination — recovering domestic demand alongside reduced super-long auction sizes — suggests supply-side pressure easing just as a key buyer base may return. Whether that willingness actually translates into allocation, and whether it persists beyond the second half, is the open question worth tracking.
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