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Macro

Japan September headline and core CPI exceed 2% for first time since December 2025

Japan’s September headline and core CPI rose more than 2% year-on-year, the first time both measures have topped that threshold since December 2025. Core-core CPI also climbed above 2% for the first time since March this year. The data marks a broad pickup in Japanese inflation across all three gauges.

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AI take

The significance here is breadth rather than any single print: all three gauges clearing 2% together points to inflation that is spreading through the basket, not just sitting in energy or food. That matters for the Bank of Japan's policy calculus, since broad-based price pressure is harder to dismiss as transitory. For markets, the read-across is to rate expectations and the yen, where the open question is whether this breadth persists into coming months or proves a one-off convergence of the three measures.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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