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China Q1-Q3 consumption contributes 46.7% to GDP growth, up 0.7 points

Final consumption expenditure contributed 46.7% of China’s economic growth in the first three quarters of 2026, up 0.7 percentage points from the first half, the Ministry of Commerce’s consumption promotion department said. Consumption added 2.1 percentage points to GDP growth in the period, remaining the top driver of the economy, the ministry said, as it credited its consumption-boosting measures with expanding the market and improving household spending patterns.

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AI take

The re-acceleration in consumption's contribution between H1 and the first three quarters suggests the drag from earlier in the year is easing, and that the ministry's promotion measures are having some measurable effect rather than merely being announced. With consumption still the top driver, the composition of growth matters more than the headline for anyone tracking China's demand for imported goods and risk assets. Whether the quarterly pickup extends into the fourth quarter, and whether the ministry attributes it to policy rather than base effects, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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