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Macro

China Treasury futures close mixed; 30-year contract down 0.11%

China’s treasury futures closed mixed on the day, with the 30-year main contract down 0.11% and the 10-year main contract down 0.01%. The 5-year main contract edged up 0.01%, while the 2-year main contract was flat compared with the previous session.

Original source

AI take

The split across tenors is the signal here: mild weakness at the long end while the short end holds steady points to pressure on long-duration positioning rather than a broad repricing of rate expectations. The moves are small enough that they read as position adjustments, not a shift in the outlook, and the flat two-year suggests the front end remains anchored. Whether the long end keeps softening while shorter contracts stay firm is the open question, since a widening gap would say more about duration appetite than about policy expectations.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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