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US envoy says Washington ready for prolonged standoff with Iran

US Ambassador to the United Nations Michael Waltz said the United States is prepared for a prolonged standoff with Iran, acknowledging that a year from now the two sides may still be deadlocked. Waltz said a nuclear deal may still be unreached and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz may not return to pre-conflict levels, adding that he hopes Iran will come to the negotiating table before that happens.

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AI take

The significance here is expectation-setting: a senior US official is publicly pricing in a long deadlock rather than a near-term resolution, which reframes the Strait of Hormuz disruption as a persistent condition rather than a temporary shock. Energy markets and shipping insurers, not just diplomats, are the audience that matters, since any prolonged shortfall in Hormuz transit keeps risk premia embedded in freight and crude logistics. The open question is whether Tehran treats the envoy's timeline as pressure to negotiate or as confirmation that Washington expects talks to stall — and whether shipping volumes recover before any deal does.

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