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Macro

European Natural Gas Futures Rise About 6% This Week

ICE UK natural gas futures climbed 6.10% this week, closing at 229.600 pence per therm on Friday, October 23, after falling to 205.690 pence in early US trading on October 20 and then rising steadily. The TTF benchmark Dutch gas contract gained 5.64% to 93.306 euros per megawatt-hour, having also dropped to 83.501 euros on October 20. ICE EU carbon allowance futures rose 1.08% to 86.33 euros per tonne.

Original source

AI take

The move looks less like a fresh bullish repricing than a recovery from an intraweek dip: both UK and Dutch contracts bottomed around October 20 before grinding higher, and the modest gain in EU carbon allowances suggests no dramatic shift in the underlying cost stack. The breadth across UK, TTF and carbon is the notable part, hinting at a shared driver rather than a local squeeze. Whether the rebound holds through the coming sessions, or simply retraces the earlier drop, is the open question worth watching.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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