TREE NEWS reports: The UK 10-year gilt yield fell 1.2 basis points to 5.344% in late European trading on Monday, Oct. 26, touching 5.297% at 22:39 Beijing time. The two-year yield rose 2.1bp to 4.934%, while the 30-year and 50-year yields fell 1.0bp and 1.1bp respectively. The 2s/10s spread narrowed by 3.365bp to +40.892bp.
UK 10-year gilt yield falls 1.2bp to 5.344%
The move is a curve story more than a level story: long-end yields easing while the two-year rises points to a modest bear-flattening of the 2s/10s spread, which narrowed to just over 40bp. That matters for anyone pricing UK duration or watching the gilt curve as a gauge of rate expectations, since the front end is doing the repricing rather than the long end. Whether the front-end move extends or reverses is the open question, and the 2s/10s spread is the cleanest single indicator to track.
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