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Macro

China 30-year Treasury bond futures hit new year-to-date high

China’s 30-year Treasury bond futures main contract rose 0.45% to 118.54, touching an intraday high of 118.56 and setting a new year-to-date record. The yield on the same-maturity “26 Ultra-Long Special Treasury Bond 04” fell 1.20 basis points to 2.0550%.

Original source

AI take

The move matters less for the futures print than for what it says about duration demand: the main contract's fresh year-to-date high came alongside a yield decline in the ultra-long cash bond, so the futures and cash legs are confirming each other rather than diverging. That consistency points to positioning further out the curve in long-dated government paper. The open question is whether the bid holds once the contract sits at a record level, where profit-taking pressure tends to build. Worth watching next is whether the futures-cash spread stays tight or starts to gap.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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