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AI Rally Revives Credit Risk Appetite, Ending Longest Spread-Widening Streak

A rebound in artificial-intelligence shares is reviving risk appetite in credit markets, ending the longest stretch of widening global investment-grade bond spreads in 20 months. The move extended into Asia on Wednesday, with credit traders saying yield premiums on investment-grade dollar bonds narrowed by at least 2 basis points. The spreads are on track to tighten for a second straight session, the first such run in five weeks.

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AI take

The signal here is correlation, not credit fundamentals: investment-grade spreads are tightening because equities are rallying, which suggests positioning and sentiment are driving the move rather than any reassessment of issuer balance sheets. That matters for credit desks and portfolio managers who have spent months watching spreads grind wider, since a two-session reversal after such a long widening streak is fragile evidence of a turn. The open question is whether spread tightening can persist independently of the AI trade — if it can't, credit is effectively levered to a single equity theme.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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