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Macro

Fed Holds Rates at 3.75%-4.00% as Two Officials Dissent

The Federal Open Market Committee voted 10-2 to keep the benchmark rate at 3.75%-4.00% on Wednesday, with Fed Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. The Fed tweaked its statement to say economic activity is expanding at a “strong” pace and reiterated that domestic spending remains resilient even as uncertainty, partly from geopolitical developments, stays elevated. The committee said accumulating more information will help it determine the appropriate policy stance to ensure inflation returns to its 2% goal in a timely manner.

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AI take

The split vote is the real signal here: dissents pushing for a hike, not a cut, suggest the committee's internal debate has shifted toward inflation risk rather than easing, even as the headline rate stays put. That matters for rate-sensitive corners of crypto and tokenized RWAs, where the direction of travel in policy expectations often moves markets more than the decision itself. Whether those hawkish dissents harden into a broader bloc, and how the upgraded language on activity feeds into the next statement, is the open question worth watching.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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