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Macro

Fed Chair Warsh: Most Fed Officials See US Economy as Not Overheating

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said most Fed officials believe the US economy is not too hot, noting that faster growth does not necessarily mean inflation is being stoked. Warsh said his assessment is that productivity improvements are being seen, and that most of the changes in productivity are related to superintelligence.

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AI take

Warsh's framing ties the Fed's read on inflation to a productivity story, and specifically to superintelligence — an unusually direct link between AI capability and the policy outlook. That matters because it gives the central bank room to look past strong growth without treating it as a price-pressure signal. The open question is whether other officials publicly echo this productivity-led interpretation or keep their focus on demand-side risks, and whether incoming productivity data supports the claim.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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