TREE NEWS update: U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said a future Federal Reserve rate hike would not necessarily be a policy error, citing strong economic growth, after the Fed held rates steady on Wednesday following a September increase. Bessent reiterated confidence in Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and called on policymakers to keep an “open mind” on energy-shock inflation possibly being “transitory,” adding that the bond market has already done much of the tightening.
Bessent: Fed rate hike under strong growth not necessarily a mistake
Bessent's framing matters because it pre-emptively legitimizes a tightening path even after a hold, nudging the policy debate toward tolerance for higher rates under strong growth. The explicit confidence in Warsh signals coordination between Treasury and the Fed's leadership, reducing the odds of public friction over direction. His claim that the bond market has already done much of the tightening is the pivotal assertion: if policymakers adopt that view, the bar for further hikes rises regardless of the growth argument. Whether that market-does-the-work logic gains traction inside the Fed is the open question.
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