TREE NEWS reports: Bank of America’s macro traders are limiting risk exposure into year-end after sharp swings in some of the world’s most popular trades, the bank’s Carlos Fernandez-Aller said. European rate volatility and a deep Brazilian selloff have been especially difficult for macro funds this year. Fernandez-Aller is cautious on market turbulence through year-end and is watching credit spreads, which are flashing risk-off signals as investor concerns mount.
BofA Macro Traders Avoid Large Bets After Volatile Market Swings
The notable signal here is behavioral: a major dealer's macro desk choosing restraint into year-end rather than expressing conviction, which itself tells you something about how unreliable the current volatility regime looks to the people closest to it. The pain is concentrated in European rates and Brazil, so funds with exposure there are the ones most likely to be trimming rather than adding. Credit spreads are the metric flagged, and whether they keep widening as a risk-off tell — or stabilize — is the open question worth watching.
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