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Crypto Regulation

Poll: Bitcoin year-end median $76,450 if Democrats sweep Congress

A survey puts the median year-end Bitcoin price forecast at $90,800 if Republicans hold both chambers of Congress, $76,450 if Democrats win both, and $84,100 under a split Congress. Analysts said Democratic control could make the CLARITY Act hard to pass over the next two years, while a Republican hold would favor crypto policy but a narrow Senate majority could still stall bills. Near-term support sits at $76,000-$76,600 and resistance at $79,500-$80,500.

Original source

AI take

The spread in these forecasts suggests respondents are pricing legislative outcomes, not just macro, as a driver of year-end valuations — a notable shift for an asset that has historically traded more on liquidity than on Capitol Hill. The CLARITY Act is the hinge: its fate under divided or unified control is what the median estimates appear to encode. What's worth watching is whether prediction markets and spot pricing start converging on the same political read, or whether the technical levels cited here end up mattering more than the election math.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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