Democratic Senate odds top 99% in 2026 midterms as crypto races tighten

The striking part is the scale of the shift, not the direction: prediction markets rarely converge this hard on a Senate outcome, so the signal is less about any single crypto-backed candidate than about how lopsided the chamber's expected composition now looks. That matters because Senate control is the gatekeeper for any digital asset legislation, and a near-certain outcome changes how much leverage individual races retain in shaping the regulatory agenda. Whether this level of market conviction holds through the campaign, and how the crypto-aligned contests resolve within it, is the open question.