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China 10-Year Government Bond Yield Falls to 1.595%, Lowest Since January 2025

China’s 10-year government bond yield fell to 1.595% in early interbank trading, its lowest level since January 2025. The 30-year yield also dropped to 2.026% in the same session, marking a low not seen since August 2025. The declines reflect continued downward pressure on long-term Chinese sovereign yields.

Original source

AI take

The move matters less as a fresh record than as confirmation that the long end of China's curve keeps grinding lower, with the 30-year joining the 10-year at multi-month lows. Persistent downward pressure on sovereign yields typically signals soft growth expectations and strong demand for duration among domestic institutions, so the read-across for risk assets is about the growth backdrop rather than any single yield print. The open question is whether this decline steepens into a more disorderly rally that forces fresh official attention to the bond market.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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