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Macro

US Q3 nonfarm unit labor costs fall 0.7% vs 0.4% expected

US nonfarm unit labor costs for the third quarter fell 0.7% in the preliminary reading, against expectations of a 0.4% increase and a prior reading of 1.2%. The decline marks a sharp swing from the previous quarter’s gain, pointing to weaker wage-driven cost pressure in the period.

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AI take

A surprise outright decline in unit labor costs cuts against the wage-driven inflation narrative that has kept policy expectations cautious, and the swing from the prior quarter's gain makes it more than a rounding miss. For rates-sensitive assets, including tokenized Treasuries and other yield-bearing RWA products, the read-through runs through the policy path rather than through crypto fundamentals directly. Whether this is a one-quarter distortion or the start of a softer cost trend is the open question, and the next data points on wages and prices will test it.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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