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Analyst: Little Value Left in Corporate Bonds as AI Buildout May Slow

Insurance costs against debt defaults rose only slightly for most hyperscalers besides SpaceX, Bloomberg Intelligence credit analyst Robert Schiffman wrote in a Thursday report. He said tighter permitting, grid-cost rules and local opposition could slow the next construction wave, supporting credit ratings by curbing capital intensity and external financing needs. Large tech debt investors could benefit from a slowdown in AI development, provided it also reins in debt-financed expansion.

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AI take

The notable point is that a slower AI buildout is framed as credit-positive rather than growth-negative: less construction means less external financing and lighter pressure on hyperscaler balance sheets. That reframes the debate for debt holders, who have been underwriting an open-ended capex cycle. The tension worth watching is whether any slowdown stems from permitting, grid costs and local opposition — factors Schiffman cites — rather than from weaker demand, since the credit benefit depends on capital intensity falling without revenues stalling.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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