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Macro

Canadian Dollar Set for Worst Week Since September on Weak Jobs Data

Canada’s unemployment rate rose to 6.7% in October and employment fell by 4,700, the third straight monthly decline, pushing the Canadian dollar down 0.7% and toward a weekly loss of as much as 1.1% — its worst since late September. The loonie’s slide was reinforced by strong U.S. October jobs data, which bolstered bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike next month. CIBC FX strategy head Sarah Ying said the report is clearly bearish for the currency, with USD/CAD risks skewed higher.

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AI take

The loonie's move is less about any single jobs print than about the divergence it exposes: a third consecutive monthly employment decline against a firm U.S. labor market tilts the policy and rate-differential story firmly against Canada. That matters most for importers of U.S. goods and for anyone holding CAD-sensitive exposure, since the currency is now trading on relative central-bank expectations rather than domestic growth alone. Whether the Fed's next move is delivered as markets expect, and whether Canadian data stabilize, are the open questions that will decide if this is a one-week repricing or the start of a broader trend.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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