TREE NEWS reports: The two-year US Treasury yield rose 4.92 basis points to 4.5115% on Friday, November 6, accelerating after the nonfarm payrolls report was released and hitting a session high of 4.5512% at 22:46 Beijing time. The 10-year yield gained 2.27 basis points to 4.8574%. For the week, the two-year fell 8.64 basis points and the 10-year dropped 7.96 basis points, with the two-year plunging after the US stock market opened on November 5, the day after the midterm elections.
Two-Year Treasury Yield Rises 4.92 Basis Points on Nonfarm Payrolls Day
The front end leading the move is the tell: a 4.92bp jump in the two-year against 2.27bp at the ten-year points to repricing of near-term policy expectations around the payrolls print, not a shift in long-run growth or inflation views. The weekly picture cuts the other way, with both maturities still lower and the two-year's post-election plunge intact, so the session move reads as a partial retracement rather than a change in direction. Whether the front end can hold these levels once the payrolls reaction fades is the open question, and it matters most for rate-sensitive corners of crypto and tokenized RWA yield products that track short-dated Treasuries.
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