Study: Bitcoin Fell Within 30 Days in All 7 Fed Pause-Then-Hike Cases

The value here is the framing, not the sample: seven observations since 2016 is thin, and a median 2.4% drawdown is close to ordinary noise, so the headline pattern may say more about crypto's sensitivity to tightening surprises than about any reliable signal. It matters mainly for macro-aware traders who treat Fed pauses as setup rather than resolution. The open question is whether the current pause-then-resume cycle tracks the 2018 analogue or breaks it — and whether the study's own methodology holds up under scrutiny.