Trump: New Iran Strikes ‘Highly Unlikely’ If Nuclear Talks Progress

The signal here is conditional, not de-escalatory: strikes are framed as unlikely only if nuclear talks and the Strait's reopening advance, which keeps risk tied to a negotiation rather than resolved. That distinction matters for energy and shipping exposure, where the Strait's status is the operative variable, and for anyone pricing Middle East risk into crypto and RWA markets. Whether Tehran's stated eagerness translates into terms that keep the pause intact is the open question.