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Macro US Stocks

Dollar Index Jumps, Nasdaq-100 Futures Fall After US October CPI Data

The dollar index rose about 20 points to 102.02 and Nasdaq-100 futures fell nearly 1% after US October consumer inflation data was released. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.901%, with 2- to 5-year yields up at least 10 basis points on the day, while spot gold dropped about $30 to $4,049.50 an ounce. Traders kept their odds of a December rate hike unchanged at 100%.

Original source

AI take

The significance here is the market's reaction function, not the CPI print itself: yields rising across the 2- to 5-year curve while December hike odds stay pinned at 100% suggests traders are repricing the path beyond December rather than the near-term decision. The dollar's jump alongside falling equity futures and weaker gold points to a classic tightening-conditions impulse hitting every asset class at once. The open question is whether this cross-asset correlation holds as the market digests the data, or whether the unchanged December odds signal that the move is already fully priced.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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